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Natalie Doig
Multi-antigen serology and a diagnostic algorithm for the detection of arbovirus infections as novel tools for arbovirus preparedness in southeast Europe (MERMAIDS-ARBO): a prospective observational study.
BACKGROUND: Arboviruses are increasingly affecting Europe, partly due to the effects of climate change. This increase in range and impact emphasises the need to improve preparedness for emerging arboviral infections that often co-circulate and might have overlapping clinical syndromes. We aimed to strengthen surveillance networks for four clinically relevant arboviruses in southeast Europe. METHODS: This study reports an in-depth analysis of the MERMAIDS-ARBO prospective observational study in adults (ie, aged ≥18 years) hospitalised with an arbovirus-compatible disease syndrome in 21 hospitals in seven countries in southeast Europe over four arbovirus seasons (May 1-Oct 31, 2016-19) to obtain arbovirus prevalence outcomes. The main objectives of the MERMAIDS-ARBO study, describing the clinical management and outcomes of four arboviruses endemic to southeast Europe, including Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV), tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), Toscana virus, and West Nile virus (WNV), are reported elsewhere. In this analysis, given the challenges associated with arbovirus diagnostics, we developed a diagnostic algorithm accounting for serology outcomes and sample timing to study arbovirus prevalence in southeast Europe. Serum samples were collected on days 0, 7, 28, and 60 after hospital admission and tested for anti-CCHFV IgG and IgM antibodies with ELISAs (confirmed with an indirect immunofluorescence test) and for IgG and IgM antibodies specific to TBEV, Toscana virus, and WNV with custom-printed protein microarrays (confirmed with virus neutralisation tests). All acute-phase samples were tested by PCR for all four viruses. Descriptive analyses were performed for virus-reactive cases by geography and year, and possible factors (eg, age, sex, and insect bites) associated with virus reactivity were assessed. FINDINGS: Of 2896 individuals screened, 913 were eligible for inclusion, of whom 863 (514 men, 332 women, and 17 unknown) had samples sent to the study reference laboratories and were included in molecular and serological analyses. Some individuals had insufficient clinical data to be included in the clinical analysis, but met the eligibility criteria for and were included here. Serum sampling was incomplete (eg, samples missing from one or more timepoints or no data on time since symptom onset) for 602 (70%) patients, and the timing of collection was often heterogeneous after symptom onset up to 40 days (average median delay of 5-6 days across all timepoints), affecting the ability to diagnose arbovirus infection by serology. By use of an interpretation table incorporating timing and completeness of sampling, one (<1%) participant had a confirmed recent infection with CCHFV, ten (1%) with TBEV, 40 (5%) with Toscana virus, and 52 (6%) with WNV. Most acute confirmed infections of Toscana virus were found in Albania (25 [63%] of 40), whereas WNV was primarily identified in Romania (36 [69%] of 52). Albania also had the highest overall Toscana virus seropositivity (168 [60%] of 282), mainly explained by patients confirmed to be exposed or previously exposed (104 [62%] of 168). Patients without antibodies to WNV or Toscana virus were significantly younger than patients with antibodies (mean difference -8·48 years [95% CI -12·31 to -4·64] for WNV, and -6·97 years [-9·59 to -4·35] for Toscana virus). We found higher odds of Toscana virus reactivity in men (odds ratio 1·56 [95% CI 1·15 to 2·11]; p=0·0055), WNV reactivity with mosquito bites versus no mosquito bites (2·47 [1·54 to 3·97]; p=0·0002), and TBEV reactivity with tick bites versus no tick bites (2·21 [1·19 to 4·11]; p=0·018). INTERPRETATION: This study shows that despite incomplete and heterogeneous data, differential diagnosis of suspected arbovirus infections is possible, and the diagnostic interpretation algorithm we propose could potentially be used to strengthen routine diagnostics in clinical settings in areas at risk for arboviral diseases. Our data highlight potential hotspots for arbovirus surveillance and risk factors associated with these particular arbovirus infections. FUNDING: European Commission and Versatile Emerging infectious disease Observatory. TRANSLATIONS: For the Greek, Albanian, Romanian, Bosnian, Serbian, and Croatian translation of the summary see Supplementary Materials section.
Engineering of extracellular vesicles for efficient intracellular delivery of multimodal therapeutics including genome editors.
Intracellular delivery of protein and RNA therapeutics represents a major challenge. Here, we develop highly potent engineered extracellular vesicles (EVs) by incorporating bio-inspired attributes required for effective delivery. These comprise an engineered mini-intein protein with self-cleavage activity for active cargo loading and release, and fusogenic VSV-G protein for endosomal escape. Combining these components allows high efficiency recombination and genome editing in vitro following EV-mediated delivery of Cre recombinase and Cas9/sgRNA RNP cargoes, respectively. In vivo, infusion of a single dose Cre loaded EVs into the lateral ventricle in brain of Cre-LoxP R26-LSL-tdTomato reporter mice results in greater than 40% and 30% recombined cells in hippocampus and cortex respectively. In addition, we demonstrate therapeutic potential of this platform by showing inhibition of LPS-induced systemic inflammation via delivery of a super-repressor of NF-ĸB activity. Our data establish these engineered EVs as a platform for effective delivery of multimodal therapeutic cargoes, including for efficient genome editing.
How to Peer Review a Systematic Review: A Peer-Reviewer's Guide to Reviewing Reviews
Systematic reviews hold significant academic weight, but poor execution can render them misleading and unreliable. To help improve the quality of systematic reviews, the peer review process plays a crucial role. Peer reviewing systematic reviews requires a distinct skill set compared to reviewing primary research studies. Systematic reviews differ in their methodology and reporting standards, necessitating a structured approach to evaluation. This commentary offers guidance on best practice when peer reviewing systematic reviews, with an emphasis on synthesis of quantitative data from clinical trials. In this article, nine key topics are covered, namely correct classification of review type, adherence to systematic methods, pre-registration, methodological and reporting quality, search strategy evaluation, risk of bias assessment, evidence synthesis methods, data and code availability, and use of standardized assessment tools. By helping to ensure best practice is followed for each of these topics, peer reviewers can play a crucial role in upholding the methodological integrity of systematic reviews, ensuring they contribute reliable and meaningful evidence to the scientific literature.
Changes in iPSC-astrocyte morphology reflect Alzheimer's disease patient clinical markers.
Human induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) provide powerful cellular models of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and offer many advantages over non-human models, including the potential to reflect variation in individual-specific pathophysiology and clinical symptoms. Previous studies have demonstrated that iPSC-neurons from individuals with Alzheimer's disease (AD) reflect clinical markers, including β-amyloid (Aβ) levels and synaptic vulnerability. However, despite neuronal loss being a key hallmark of AD pathology, many risk genes are predominantly expressed in glia, highlighting them as potential therapeutic targets. In this work iPSC-derived astrocytes were generated from a cohort of individuals with high versus low levels of the inflammatory marker YKL-40, in their cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). iPSC-derived astrocytes were treated with exogenous Aβ oligomers and high content imaging demonstrated a correlation between astrocytes that underwent the greatest morphology change from patients with low levels of CSF-YKL-40 and more protective APOE genotypes. This finding was subsequently verified using similarity learning as an unbiased approach. This study shows that iPSC-derived astrocytes from AD patients reflect key aspects of the pathophysiological phenotype of those same patients, thereby offering a novel means of modelling AD, stratifying AD patients and conducting therapeutic screens.
The aetiologies, mortality, and disability of non-traumatic coma in African children: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
BACKGROUND: Non-traumatic coma in African children is a common life-threatening presentation often leading to hospital attendance. We aimed to estimate the distribution of non-traumatic coma causes and outcomes, including disease-specific outcomes, for which evidence is scarce. METHODS: We systematically reviewed MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus databases from inception to Feb 6, 2024. We included studies recruiting children (aged 1 month to 16 years) with non-traumatic coma (Blantyre Coma Scale score ≤2, ie deep coma or comparable alternative) from any African country. Disease-specific studies were included if outcomes were reported. Primary data were requested where required. We used a DerSimonian-Laird random effects model to calculate pooled estimates for prevalence of causes, mortality, and morbidity (in-hospital and post-discharge), including analysis of mortality by temporality. This study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD4202014193). FINDINGS: We screened 16 666 articles. 138 studies were eligible for analysis, reporting causes, outcome data, or both from 35 027 children with non-traumatic coma in 30 African countries. 114 (89%) of 128 studies were determined to be high quality. Among the causes, cerebral malaria had highest pooled prevalence at 58% (95% CI 48-69), encephalopathy of unknown cause was associated with 23% (9-36) of cases, and acute bacterial meningitis was the cause of 10% (8-12) of cases, with all other causes representing lower proportions of cases. Pooled overall case-fatality rates were 17% (16-19) for cerebral malaria, 37% (20-55) for unknown encephalopathy, and 45% (34-55) for acute bacterial meningitis. By meta-regression, there was no significant difference in cerebral malaria (p=0·98), acute bacterial meningitis (p=0·99), or all-cause coma (p=0·081) mortality by year of study. There was no substantial difference in deaths associated with cerebral malaria in-hospital compared with post-discharge (17% [16-19] vs (18% [16-20]). Mortality was higher post-discharge than in-hospital in most non-malarial comas, including acute bacterial meningitis (39% [26-52]) vs 53% [38-69]). Disability associated with cerebral malaria was 11% (9-12). Pooled disability outcomes associated with other non-malarial diseases were largely absent. INTERPRETATION: The prevalence and outcomes of cerebral malaria and meningitis associated with non-traumatic coma were strikingly static across five decades. Enhanced molecular and radiological diagnostics, investment, policy making, community awareness, and health service provision are all required to facilitate earlier referral to specialist centres, to drive a step-change in diagnostic yield and treatment options to improve these outcomes. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust. TRANSLATIONS: For the Chichewa, French and Portuguese translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.
5-year vaccine protection following a single dose of Vi-tetanus toxoid conjugate vaccine in Bangladeshi children (TyVOID): a cluster randomised trial.
BACKGROUND: WHO currently recommends a single dose of typhoid conjugate vaccine (TCV) in high-burden countries based on 2-year vaccine efficacy data from large randomised controlled trials. Given the decay of immunogenicity, the protection beyond 2 years is unknown. We therefore extended the follow-up of the TyVAC trial in Bangladesh to assess waning of vaccine protection to 5 years after vaccination. METHODS: We conducted a cluster randomised controlled trial (TyVAC; ISRCTN11643110) in Dhaka, Bangladesh, between 2018 and 2021. Children aged 9 months to 15 years were invited to receive a single dose of TCV or Japanese encephalitis vaccine between April 15, 2018, and November 16, 2019, based on the randomisation of their clusters of residence. Children who received the Japanese encephalitis vaccine were invited to receive TCV at the final visit between Jan 6, and Aug 31, 2021, according to the protocol. This follow-on study extended the follow-up of the original trial until Aug 14, 2023. The primary endpoint of this study was to compare the incidence of blood culture-confirmed typhoid between children who received TCV in 2018-19 (the previous-TCV group) and those who received the vaccine in 2021 (the recent-TCV group), to evaluate the relative decline in vaccine protection. We also did a nested study using the test-negative design comparing the recent-TCV and previous-TCV groups with unvaccinated individuals, as well as an immunogenicity study in a subset of 1500 children. FINDINGS: Compared with the recent-TCV group, the previous-TCV group had an increased risk of typhoid fever between 2021-23, with an adjusted incidence rate ratio of 3·10 (95% CI 1·53 to 6·29; p<0·0001), indicating a decline in the protection of a single-dose of TCV 3-5 years after vaccination. The extrapolated vaccine effectiveness in years 3-5 was 50% (95% CI -13 to 78), and was validated using the test-negative design analysis, with a vaccine effectiveness of 84% (74 to 90) in the recent-TCV group and 55% (36 to 68) in the previous-TCV group, compared with unvaccinated individuals. Anti-Vi-IgG responses declined over the study period. The highest rate of decay was seen in children vaccinated at younger than 2 years in the original trial. The inverse correlation between age and the decay of antibodies was also seen in the subgroup analysis of vaccine effectiveness, where the youngest age group (<7 years at fever visits) exhibited the fastest waning, with vaccine effectiveness dropping to 24% (95% CI -29 to 55) at 3-5 years after vaccination. INTERPRETATION: A decline in the protection conferred by a single-dose TCV was observed 3-5 years after vaccination, with the greatest decline in protection and immune responses observed in children vaccinated at younger ages. A booster dose of TCV around school entry age might be needed for children vaccinated while younger than 2 years to sustain protection against typhoid fever during the school years when the risk is the highest. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Systematic identification of disease-causing promoter and untranslated region variants in 8040 undiagnosed individuals with rare disease.
BACKGROUND: Both promoters and untranslated regions (UTRs) have critical regulatory roles, yet variants in these regions are largely excluded from clinical genetic testing due to difficulty in interpreting pathogenicity. The extent to which these regions may harbour diagnoses for individuals with rare disease is currently unknown. METHODS: We present a framework for the identification and annotation of potentially deleterious proximal promoter and UTR variants in known dominant disease genes. We use this framework to annotate de novo variants (DNVs) in 8040 undiagnosed individuals in the Genomics England 100,000 genomes project, which were subject to strict region-based filtering, clinical review, and validation studies where possible. In addition, we performed region and variant annotation-based burden testing in 7862 unrelated probands against matched unaffected controls. RESULTS: We prioritised eleven DNVs and identified an additional variant overlapping one of the eleven. Ten of these twelve variants (82%) are in genes that are a strong match to the individual's phenotype and six had not previously been identified. Through burden testing, we did not observe a significant enrichment of potentially deleterious promoter and/or UTR variants in individuals with rare disease collectively across any of our region or variant annotations. CONCLUSIONS: Whilst screening promoters and UTRs can uncover additional diagnoses for individuals with rare disease, including these regions in diagnostic pipelines is not likely to dramatically increase diagnostic yield. Nevertheless, we provide a framework to aid identification of these variants.
Systematic identification of disease-causing promoter and untranslated region variants in 8,040 undiagnosed individuals with rare disease.
BACKGROUND: Both promoters and untranslated regions (UTRs) have critical regulatory roles, yet variants in these regions are largely excluded from clinical genetic testing due to difficulty in interpreting pathogenicity. The extent to which these regions may harbour diagnoses for individuals with rare disease is currently unknown. METHODS: We present a framework for the identification and annotation of potentially deleterious proximal promoter and UTR variants in known dominant disease genes. We use this framework to annotate de novo variants (DNVs) in 8,040 undiagnosed individuals in the Genomics England 100,000 genomes project, which were subject to strict region-based filtering, clinical review, and validation studies where possible. In addition, we performed region and variant annotation-based burden testing in 7,862 unrelated probands against matched unaffected controls. RESULTS: We prioritised eleven DNVs and identified an additional variant overlapping one of the eleven. Ten of these twelve variants (82%) are in genes that are a strong match to the individual's phenotype and six had not previously been identified. Through burden testing, we did not observe a significant enrichment of potentially deleterious promoter and/or UTR variants in individuals with rare disease collectively across any of our region or variant annotations. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we demonstrate the value of screening promoters and UTRs to uncover additional diagnoses for previously undiagnosed individuals with rare disease and provide a framework for doing so without dramatically increasing interpretation burden.
The validity of test-negative design for assessment of typhoid conjugate vaccine protection: comparison of estimates by different study designs using data from a cluster-randomised controlled trial.
BACKGROUND: Typhoid fever remains a substantial public health challenge in low-income and middle-income countries. By 2023, typhoid conjugate vaccines (TCVs) had been introduced in six countries globally, with more than 50 million doses distributed. Now that TCVs are being deployed, there is a need for observational studies to assess vaccine effectiveness in the field. We aimed to evaluate the validity of different observational study designs in estimating vaccine protection. METHODS: We compared different observational and experimental study designs for assessing vaccine effectiveness by re-analysing data from the TyVAC Bangladesh trial, a participant-blinded and observer-blinded cluster-randomised controlled trial done in Mirpur, Dhaka, Bangladesh. 150 geographical clusters were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive either TCV or Japanese encephalitis vaccine. Eligible children aged 9 months to 15 years were offered a single dose of the vaccine randomly assigned to their cluster of residence, and baseline vaccination was done between April 15 and May 15, 2018. We compared estimates of vaccine effectiveness from the cluster-randomised controlled trial analysis-which assessed the risk of blood-culture-confirmed typhoid fever among recipients of TCV versus recipients of Japanese encephalitis vaccine-with estimates from cohort study and test-negative case-control study design (TND) analyses, which compared recipients of TCV with non-vaccinees in the 75 geographical clusters where TCV was administered. We further conducted negative-control exposure (NCE) and negative-control outcome (NCO) analyses as bias indicators. FINDINGS: 41 344 (67%) of 62 025 age-eligible children in the study area received the TCV or Japanese encephalitis vaccine during the baseline vaccination campaign. Among the 62 025 age-eligible children, 5582 blood-culture specimens were collected by passive surveillance, including 2546 (46%) specimens from the 75 TCV clusters. The estimated vaccine efficacy was 89% (95% CI 81-93) in the cluster-randomised controlled trial analysis, 79% (70-86) by the cohort design, 88% (79-93) by the TND when pan-negatives were used as test-negative controls, and 90% (75-96) by the TND when specimens positive for pathogens other than Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi were used as test-negative controls. Using NCE analysis, Japanese encephalitis vaccination was associated with an increased risk of typhoid fever compared with non-vaccinees in the 75 Japanese encephalitis clusters in the cohort design (incidence rate ratio 1·98 [95% CI 1·56-2·52]), but no significant association between Japanese encephalitis vaccination and typhoid fever was found with the TND. Similarly, an increased risk of non-typhoid infections was observed in the cohort NCO analyses when comparing vaccinees with non-vaccinees in both Japanese encephalitis vaccine clusters and TCV clusters, but not in the TND NCO analyses. INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggests that the TND provides reliable estimates of TCV effectiveness, whereas the cohort design can bias vaccine effectiveness estimates, possibly due to unmeasured confounding effects, such as health-care-seeking behaviours. NCE and NCO approaches are useful tools for identifying such biases. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Autoimmunity in inflammatory bowel disease: a holobiont perspective
Adaptive immunity towards self-antigens (autoimmunity) and intestinal commensal microbiota is a key feature of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Considering mucosal adaptive immunity from a holobiont perspective, where the host and its microbiome form a single physiological unit, emphasises the challenge of avoiding damaging responses to self-antigen and symbiotic microbial communities in the gut while protecting against potential pathogens. Intestinal tolerance mechanisms prevent maladaptive T and B cell responses to microbial, environmental, and self-antigens, which drive inflammation. We discuss the spectrum of antimicrobial and autoantibody responses and highlight mechanisms by which common IBD-associated adaptive immune responses contribute to disease.
Risk analysis for outpatient experimental infection as a pathway for affordable RSV vaccine development
Controlled human infection models (CHIMs) are an important tool for accelerating clinical development of vaccines. CHIM costs are driven by quarantine facilities but may be reduced by performing CHIM in the outpatient setting. Furthermore, outpatient CHIMs offer benefits beyond costs, such as a participant-friendly approach and increased real-world aspect. We analyze safety, logistic and ethical risks of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) CHIM in the outpatient setting. A review of the literature identified outpatient CHIMs involving respiratory pathogens. RSV transmission risk was assessed using data from our inpatient and outpatient RSV CHIMs (EudraCT 020-004137-21). Fifty-nine outpatient CHIMs using RSV, Streptococcus pneumoniae, rhinovirus, and an ongoing Bordetella Pertussis outpatient CHIM were included. One transmission event was recorded. In an inpatient RSV CHIM, standard droplet and isolation measures were sufficient to limit RSV transmission and no symptomatic third-party transmission was measured in the first outpatient RSV CHIM. Logistic and ethical advantages support outpatient CHIM adoption. We propose a framework for outpatient RSV CHIM with risk mitigation strategies to enhance affordable vaccine development.
Spectrum, risk factors and outcomes of neurological and psychiatric complications of COVID-19: a UK-wide cross-sectional surveillance study.
SARS-CoV-2 is associated with new-onset neurological and psychiatric conditions. Detailed clinical data, including factors associated with recovery, are lacking, hampering prediction modelling and targeted therapeutic interventions. In a UK-wide cross-sectional surveillance study of adult hospitalized patients during the first COVID-19 wave, with multi-professional input from general and sub-specialty neurologists, psychiatrists, stroke physicians, and intensivists, we captured detailed data on demographics, risk factors, pre-COVID-19 Rockwood frailty score, comorbidities, neurological presentation and outcome. A priori clinical case definitions were used, with cross-specialty independent adjudication for discrepant cases. Multivariable logistic regression was performed using demographic and clinical variables, to determine the factors associated with outcome. A total of 267 cases were included. Cerebrovascular events were most frequently reported (131, 49%), followed by other central disorders (95, 36%) including delirium (28, 11%), central inflammatory (25, 9%), psychiatric (25, 9%), and other encephalopathies (17, 7%), including a severe encephalopathy (n = 13) not meeting delirium criteria; and peripheral nerve disorders (41, 15%). Those with the severe encephalopathy, in comparison to delirium, were younger, had higher rates of admission to intensive care and a longer duration of ventilation. Compared to normative data during the equivalent time period prior to the pandemic, cases of stroke in association with COVID-19 were younger and had a greater number of conventional, modifiable cerebrovascular risk factors. Twenty-seven per cent of strokes occurred in patients <60 years. Relative to those >60 years old, the younger stroke patients presented with delayed onset from respiratory symptoms, higher rates of multi-vessel occlusion (31%) and systemic thrombotic events. Clinical outcomes varied between disease groups, with cerebrovascular disease conferring the worst prognosis, but this effect was less marked than the pre-morbid factors of older age and a higher pre-COVID-19 frailty score, and a high admission white cell count, which were independently associated with a poor outcome. In summary, this study describes the spectrum of neurological and psychiatric conditions associated with COVID-19. In addition, we identify a severe COVID-19 encephalopathy atypical for delirium, and a phenotype of COVID-19 associated stroke in younger adults with a tendency for multiple infarcts and systemic thromboses. These clinical data will be useful to inform mechanistic studies and stratification of patients in clinical trials.
Aetiology and outcome of non-traumatic coma in African children: protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis.
BACKGROUND: Non-traumatic coma is a common acute childhood presentation to healthcare facilities in Africa and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Historically, the majority of cases were attributed to cerebral malaria (CM). With the recent drastic reduction in malaria incidence, non-malarial coma is becoming a larger proportion of cases and determining the aetiology is diagnostically challenging, particularly in resource-limited settings. The purpose of this study will be to evaluate the aetiology and prognosis of non-traumatic coma in African children. METHODS: With no date restrictions, systematic searches of MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus will identify prospective and retrospective studies (including randomised controlled trials, cluster randomised trials, cohort studies, cross-sectional, and case-control studies) recruiting children (1 month-16 years) with non-traumatic coma (defined by Blantyre Coma Score ≤ 2 or comparable alternative) from any African country. Disease-specific studies will be included if coma is associated and reported. The primary outcome is to determine the aetiology (infectious and non-infectious) of non-traumatic coma in African children, with pooled prevalence estimates of causes (e.g., malaria). Secondary outcomes are to determine overall estimates of morbidity and mortality of all-cause non-traumatic coma and disease-specific states of non-traumatic coma, where available. Random effects meta-analysis will summarise aetiology data and in-hospital and post-discharge mortality. Heterogeneity will be quantified with τ2, I2, and Cochran's Q test. DISCUSSION: This systematic review will provide a summary of the best available evidence on the aetiology and outcome of non-traumatic coma in African children. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42020141937.